Global drug survey

Global drug survey

by | Sujit Rathod -
Number of replies: 11

From The Guardian

The survey questioned more than 110,000 people around the globe, including 5,283 in the UK, in a three-month period from November 2019 to February 2020, before the coronavirus pandemic.

1. What is the study design?

More than 5% of people under 25 in the UK reported having sought hospital treatment after getting drunk, compared with a global average of 2%.

2. What is in the numerator and denominator of these figures?

Respondents were asked to say how many times they had got so drunk that “your physical and mental faculties are impaired to the point where your balance/speech was affected, you were unable to focus clearly on things, and that your conversation and behaviours were very obviously different to people who know you”.

3. What are the strengths and limitations of the definition of "drunk" ?

I'm just going to leave this here: https://www.globaldrugsurvey.com/about-us/methods-and-limitations/

In reply to | Sujit Rathod

Re: Global drug survey

by | Svet Lustig Vijay -
Hello !

1. What is the study design? Cross-sectional survey based on online self-reports from people under the age of 25 in the UK and other countries of the world.

Intriguingly (or perhaps not?), in this non-random sample, two thirds of respondents are male and 87% of those are White. This is important for question 3. 

2. What is in the numerator and denominator of these figures? 

  • global estimate  2,200/110,000 ; (0.02 * 110,000) to calculate numerator
  • UK estimate 264/5,283; (0.05 * 5,283) to calculate numerator
3. Strengths and limitations of the definition of "drunk" ?

Strengths (1) definition easy to understand  (2) identifies intense state of drunkenness to illustrate extent of problematic drinking for policymakers. While "drunk" can mean many states for different people, this definition of drunk refers to a highly specific and intense state of drunkenness that seems easy to understand (whether this definition actually works in practice is discussed below). This definition also distinguishes "intense" drunkenness from simply being tipsy, which can be helpful for policymakers to understand the "true" extent of "problematic" alcohol-drinking. 

Limitations - mostly validity of definition. 

(1) while this definition can illustrate the extent of problematic drinking, it relies on the perceived effects of alcohol consumption rather than on "units" of alcohol ingested, complicating attempts to quantify how much alcohol is being drunk by individuals. Furthermore, different people may drink the same quantity of alcohol but they may respond differently due to differences in biology, perception, or whether they're "experienced" alcohol users. Regular drinkers, for instance, may be extremely drunk, but still able to "control" their faculties, so their state may go unnoticed by their peers. Thus, the survey results may not directly reflect the quantity of alcohol drunk. 

(2) "double-barreled" question leads to misclassification. The most important limitation of the definition is the fact that it consists of at least six different behaviors, including changes in:

  1. physical faculty
  2. mental faculty
  3. balance affected
  4. speech affected
  5. inability to focus
  6. conversations/behavior "obviously" different to people who know person.

What if a participant only experienced only one, two or three of these "symptoms"? Would they count as being "drunk"? It's unclear whether this would lead to non-differential or differential misclassification. 

PS: Also, it's important to note that two thirds of survey respondents are male, which are likely to metabolize alcohol differently than females - maybe there are also gender-based differences in reporting of alcohol use.

In reply to | Svet Lustig Vijay

Re: Global drug survey

by | PAULA MARIE ESCOTT -
I don't want to restate answers for #1 and #2, as they have been answered well in the above response. A few thoughts on the strengths and limitations of the definition of drunk:
  • The case definition does not seem to be well defined. As noted above, with a double-barreled question, it is not clear if a respondent had to meet all six criteria to be considered a case, or if someone who only met three criteria could have been considered as well. There should be clear boundaries defining what is a case and what is not, and it seems to me those boundaries are not well-defined in this situation.
  • The portion of the definition "conversations/behavior "obviously" different to people who know the person" does not seem to consider a situation where a respondent is drinking alone or among strangers and does not receive feedback of their abnormal behavior. 
  • It seems to me that reporting of this definition will also be affected by recall bias. Overconsumption of alcohol may be viewed as undesirable behavior, and thus, underreported. Additionally, it may be difficult for respondents to be objective when reporting whether their physical and mental capabilities or balance and speech are affected. Sometimes people think they are behaving "normally" but if shown a video of their actions at a later time would see that what they perceived and what those around them perceived were different. 

Not a response to a question, but as I read the article from the Guardian, it felt like they were leading readers to generalize results to the populations of England and Scotland. Once sentence stated, 

"It is an online survey that targets people who tend to already use drugs, with the aim of highlighting differences and trends among users, rather than a country’s population as a whole," 

but this was the only mention of the population studied, and it appeared in the 5th paragraph after many of the statistics had already been presented. The population studied mainly consists of drug users, and the GDS acknowledges the response bias in their results. I would have liked to see some acknowledgment of the limitations of the study in the article itself.

Thanks for sharing this article. It was interesting to think about.

In reply to | PAULA MARIE ESCOTT

Re: Global drug survey

by | JUDITH MARGARET BURCHARDT -
Thanks for sharing Sujit, and for your helpful answers Svet and Paula.

I read the link that you gave us at the bottom of your post Sujit. It said,

It is important to understand what GDS can and cannot do when interpreting our findings. GDS acknowledges that when compared with traditional epidemiological criteria for a good public health surveillance system, our approach has significant limitations. GDS utilises non-random, opportunistic sampling methods to recruit very large numbers of people who use drugs. The recruitment window is brief with the survey active for only 6 weeks. The sample representativeness is limited by response bias whereby there will be inherent differences between those who participate and those who do not. This survey is only available on-line and will therefore tend to miss those without easy online access and those with high levels of health literacy.

Don’t look to GDS for national estimates.
GDS is designed to answer comparison questions that are not dependent on probability samples.
The GDS database is huge but its non-probability sample means analyses are suited to highlight differences among user populations.

Unfortunately the national comparisons, which are meaningless when based on a non-random sample, are exactly what the Guardian has used. I think this is another example of journalists needing to publish exciting dramatic headlines, and doing this at the expense of accuracy and truth.

Judith
In reply to | JUDITH MARGARET BURCHARDT

Re: Global drug survey

by | Sujit Rathod -
And, I'm not entirely convinced that an opportunistic sample is valuable even for the purposes the researchers state. What do you think?
In reply to | JUDITH MARGARET BURCHARDT

Re: Global drug survey

by | Svet Lustig Vijay -
Dear Judith, thanks a lot for your thoughtful answer.

I agree that sometimes, the "media" goes too far. Sometimes, data is distorted, although most of the time it seems that it's not done deliberately, at least in high-quality news outlets. I also agree that the author of The Guardian's article could have taken more space to outline the limitations of this survey, as there's a lot to say on the topic, as you rightly point out.

However, I would like to make several points:

Firstly, the article does state, albeit  implicitly, that this purposive sample is not generalizable to the general population. Quoting the article directly,  emphasis in the second sentence:

"The survey questioned more than 110,000 people around the globe, including 5,283 in the UK, in a three-month period from November 2019 to February 2020, before the coronavirus pandemic. It is an online survey that targets people who tend to already use drugs, with the aim of highlighting differences and trends among users, rather than a country’s population as a whole."

Above, in the second sentence, the author has implicitly revealed a limitation of the study without explicitly signposting it as one, so it is easy to miss - but it is still there nevertheless for the seasoned reader to pick up on.

Secondly, to my understanding, the article does not exaggerate any of the findings from the survey, nor is it "inaccurate" or "untruthful". In fact, when we look at the executive summary of the study, the UK does have the largest drinking problem out of the countries surveyed, and many of the findings from the study are dramatic indeed. But this does not make the article "untruthful" per se. Looking back at the title and blurb, none if it has actually been extrapolated ("English and Scottish get drunk most often, 25-nation survey finds"; "Average of more than 33 times last year is more than twice the rate of several other nationalities").

Thirdly, it would be unreasonable to argue that unrepresentative findings are "meaningless", as that would imply that qualitative research - the bulk of which is not representative - is meaningless. Hopefully our great lecturers in PSR were able to illustrate the vital importance and utility of social research in public health, which usually has rather different epistemological standpoints to that of epidemiology. That, however, makes it no less valid - at least to me - although I acknowledge that this is a big and ongoing debate; still, today many continue to question the validity of qualitative research precisely because it's usually not representative, which is a shame in my eyes given the evidence out there.

Finally, and most importantly, I would argue that the study is meaningful even if it's unrepresentative, because it corroborates a rather general trend that we have seen for years: that the UK has a clear drinking problem, that it is disproportionately higher than in the rest of the world, and that it's largely unaddressed. This, I think, is the main point of the study, and it has clear policy implications.

Whether the study is methodologically robust is another question - and who should be blamed for that is to another interesting question: should you blame the reporter for reporting on a "poor" study that depicts a general pattern that we believe to be true and relevant to public health, or should you blame the authors of the study for having designed a "bad" survey ? Should we be blaming anyone at all?

And another question that I'm particularly interested in : to what extent should health journalism in non-specialist outlets focus on methodological pitfalls, especially in outlets where readers may not be acquainted with what we consider to be general epidemiological or statistical knowledge ? When is it "enough"?

If you got through that, you're a trooper ! Have a lovely evening, morning or afternoon.


In reply to | Svet Lustig Vijay

Re: Global drug survey

by | Sujit Rathod -
Hi Svet - I still feel the journalist is pushing the interpretations too far:

Sentences like this:
"Only 7% of Scottish and English people surveyed reported not having been drunk at all in the past 12 months. Only Danes and Australians had a lower proportion, at 5%."

strongly imply a nationally-representative sample.

My take-away from reading the article is: people in England/Scotland who use drugs and who are willing to complete an online survey drink a lot more than people who use drugs in other countries and who are willing to complete an online survey.
In reply to | PAULA MARIE ESCOTT

Re: Global drug survey

by | Sujit Rathod -
Welcome Paula!

It's worth considering why that limitation seems to have been ignored by the journalist. We can't assume that an article like this will have no impact...
In reply to | PAULA MARIE ESCOTT

Re: Global drug survey

by | Svet Lustig Vijay -
Hi, thanks for this ! Totally agree with points 2&3 , recall bias will be really important, especially with something like alcohol that can make people forget !
In reply to | Svet Lustig Vijay

Re: Global drug survey

by | Sujit Rathod -
Svet - not even double-barrelled but... 6-barrelled! By the time a participant is done reading the question, they've forgotten what the start of the question was about!
Accessibility

Background Colour

Font Face

Font Size

1

Text Colour